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Meeting fiscal rules a 'coin toss'
Notes long-term geopolitical risks
Growth set to rise from 2026
Towards spending 2.5% of GDP in 2027
Spring Forecast due today
Amid tariff chaos
Too early to look through inflation
Interest rates held at 4.5%
As priced in by markets
Wage growth still 'too sticky'
27 March 2025
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3 min read
