It costs to be short of government bonds

BONDS

clock

Currently, government yield curves are very steep - historically, a phenomenon that has forecast a recovery.

It actually costs to be short of government bonds right now. Let us look at different scenarios – if there is deflation, it is better to be long, as investors will benefit from the capital appreciation from falling yields. If interest rates were to rise, then the curve may flatten as investors price in weaker growth in the future. So not a bad situation to be in! Financial spreads – the levels of compensation to investors over gilts – are higher than average as risks are priced in. They are looking attractive on both an historic and relative basis versus non-financials. Financials have a...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Bonds

Fund to Watch: A global focus on idiosyncratic opportunities

Fund to Watch: A global focus on idiosyncratic opportunities

Ahead of Investment Week's Funds to Watch conference, Capital Group's Alvaro Peró Gala, explores diversification, resilience and portfolio stability in 2025

Alvaro Peró Gala, Investment Director at Capital Group UK
clock 26 February 2025 • 6 min read
Fidelity's Mike Riddell: US growth is 'not going to be 3% forever' and the case for sovereign debt

Fidelity's Mike Riddell: US growth is 'not going to be 3% forever' and the case for sovereign debt

'It is all about what is currently priced in'

Linus Uhlig
clock 12 February 2025 • 5 min read
Hargreaves Lansdown sees four-year high in gilt purchases following January yield spike

Hargreaves Lansdown sees four-year high in gilt purchases following January yield spike

High purchases expected in February

Linus Uhlig
clock 10 February 2025 • 2 min read
Trustpilot