2016 outlook: Economic weakness, uninspiring commodity demand and more QE

clock • 19 min read

With the US entering a new rate cycle and global growth still weak, industry experts at Investment Week's recent Funds To Watch event reveal how they think markets will perform in the coming 12 months, and where the key opportunities and risks lie.

Bruno Paulson, portfolio manager, Morgan Stanley Investment Funds Global Brands Although the Federal Reserve may raise rates, low commodity prices, weak economic demand, and high levels of debt are an unlikely environment to foster inflation and kick-start a new rate cycle. We believe it is more likely we see continued economic weakness (and political uncertainty) perforated by moments of positive growth and isolated pockets of pricing power. The mountain of debt and the level of overcapacity, both brought on by cheap money, have reached proportions that make it very hard for compan...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Global

Global dividends hit Q3 record high despite significant cuts

Global dividends hit Q3 record high despite significant cuts

Rising to $431.1bn

Beth Brearley
clock 21 November 2024 • 2 min read
Fund managers more bullish on global growth following Trump win

Fund managers more bullish on global growth following Trump win

BofA Global Fund Manager survey

Beth Brearley
clock 14 November 2024 • 1 min read
21st Federal Reserve vice-chair Richard Clarida on Trump, the US election and the 2% inflation target

21st Federal Reserve vice-chair Richard Clarida on Trump, the US election and the 2% inflation target

Q&A with Pimco's global economic adviser

Linus Uhlig
clock 05 November 2024 • 5 min read
Trustpilot