Could it be 2020 before the UK sees interest rates rise beyond 0.5%?

Focus on high-quality companies

clock • 2 min read

Did everything change on 24 June 2016? The market is a discounting mechanism and the move that followed the result of the EU referendum showed that the majority of market participants had not anticipated the outcome that the UK's voting population produced, writes AXA IM's Jamie Forbes-Wilson.

Share price moves were mostly logical with the worst of the sell-off being targeted at companies with a UK sales bias.  Before the vote there had been speculation around UK interest rate increases but nothing in terms of action from the Monetary Policy Committee. BoE governor Carney hints at summer rate cut Rates have been frozen at an all-time low since March 2009 and the market is now pricing as much as a 53-month wait until the first UK interest rate hike. That potentially takes us to the year 2020 before interest rates rise beyond 0.5%. For mortgage holders, this could mean ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on UK

Number of ISA millionaires hits all-time high of nearly 5,000
UK

Number of ISA millionaires hits all-time high of nearly 5,000

Plum FOI request

Sorin-Andrei Dojan
clock 13 November 2024 • 1 min read
Global investors doubt Reeves' Budget will make UK markets more attractive
UK

Global investors doubt Reeves' Budget will make UK markets more attractive

'Very little room for slippage'

Sorin-Andrei Dojan
clock 08 November 2024 • 4 min read
Baillie Gifford's Iain McCombie: Rightmove's REA rejection 'really good news' for UK M&A
UK

Baillie Gifford's Iain McCombie: Rightmove's REA rejection 'really good news' for UK M&A

Amid criticism of 'depressing' Budget

Linus Uhlig
clock 08 November 2024 • 2 min read
Trustpilot