Armstrong: Only inflation will combat Western debt

clock

Inflation is the only way to reduce the high debt to GDP forecast for the UK and US, which is set to match that of Greece by 2014, says Distinction Asset Management's Ana Armstrong.

The former Insight multi-manager says according to IMF estimates, debt to GDP is expected to be around 100% for the UK and US by 2014. She says there are historically three main solutions for recovering the high debt levels, although inflation looks to be the "only way" out of the problem. One option is sustained growth, although she says this is not a likely scenario. "Growth is anaemic in the West, unemployment is quite high at 10% in the US, and with GDP depending heavily on consumption, growth cannot materialise like it did five years ago. "So in the West, I do not think growth...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Investment

Stories of the week: Defence spending, the FCA, and Brickwood

Stories of the week: Defence spending, the FCA, and Brickwood

The German election, Unilever, and UK GDP: The biggest stories from the world of investment and asset management this week

clock 28 February 2025 • 1 min read
Partner Insight: Uncovering the rich tapestry of emerging markets

Partner Insight: Uncovering the rich tapestry of emerging markets

Global emerging markets comprise a large and varied selection of economies and companies. And yet they are often treated as a homogeneous asset class. We seek to debunk some of the misconceptions about emerging markets and unveil the diverse range of potential opportunities they offer, says M&G Investments.

M&G Investments
clock 28 February 2025 • 3 min read
M&G's Matcham: Concentration risk, consolidation and 'reframing' the active debate

M&G's Matcham: Concentration risk, consolidation and 'reframing' the active debate

Building on history of innovation

Katrina Lloyd
clock 26 February 2025 • 6 min read
Trustpilot