LGIM's Richard Hodges believes the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) would be "lunatics" to raise interest rates in May as it will put the UK at risk of a double-dip recession.
Hodges, manager of the £1.5bn Dynamic Bond trust, say it would be a “policy error” to raise rates this year. He warned doing so would hit the fragile housing market hard. Hodges believes rates will not rise above 2% in 2012 and is reflecting this view by taking short-term UK interest rate exposure. “The reason I have added to interest rate risk through zero to one-year duration is because UK interest rates got massively oversold,” says Hodges. “The short-sterling futures contract, the 90-day UK interest rate future for 2012, started discounting interest rates in the UK would b...
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