The semi-annual testimony of Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen was mostly descriptive, consensual and in one word - boring, but the next events will be more interesting to observe, writes Seilern Investment Management CIO Raphael Pitoun.
First, it confirms that long-term inflation expectations have been stable. Whether you look at it from a consumer or business perspective, the rate seems to be stuck at between 2% and 2.5%. Secondly, the Federal Reserve insists on the fact that market-based inflation expectations tell a different story. Both the TIPS and inflation swaps are heading north. Thirdly, the Federal Reserve perceives the level of systemic risk in the financial system as globally moderate, despite the increase in mortgage rates. It notes banks remain well capitalised and even if the equity market reached ne...
To continue reading this article...
Join Investment Week for free
- Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
- Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
- Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
- Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
- Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes