Industry Voice: 5 tables you need to see to understand Japan

clock • 10 min read

Chart of monthly flows to European domiciled Japanese ETFs, €. Source Lyxor ETF, Bloomberg.

 

We've said it before, but Japan is becoming an increasingly attractive investment destination, with a bright economy and an appealing income story. House prices are rising, consumption is picking up and earnings per share are growing faster than in any other major market. Japan still appears quite cheap, with discounts vs. world stocks higher than normal. Some of Shinzo Abe's arrows finally appear to have hit at least some of their targets.

In Japan particularly, there is a good justification for going passive - the Bank of Japan is a major buyer of ETFs. Flows rebounded strongly in September, after outflows in August, but the rush to the land of the rising sun is not without its subtleties. The major indices come in various shapes and sizes, so it's important you know why you're really investing in Japan. What you think of its prospects matters an awful lot when it comes to choosing your index.

  1. They derive their revenues from different places

 

The higher an index's share of domestic revenue, the less sensitive it is to movements in the yen. The TOPIX offers exposure to the full Japanese economy - it's the broadest of the mainstream Japanese indices which matters if you think recovery will be broad-based or if you're backing the yen to strengthen from here.

 

More yen weakness would ordinarily point to the Nikkei 225, but you might miss out on the domestic recovery/reflation story.

 

 

 

 

 

>>View Lyxor's TOPIX ETF

  1. They view sectors differently

                                              

The SG Japan Quality Income Index excludes financials entirely, while the other indices have exposures that reflect their domestic, or their export, focus. The differences aren't always too great however.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Find out more about the SG Japan Quality Income index 

  1. They come in all shapes & sizes

 

The SGQJ does not use any size weighting in its methodology, leading to much more of a small-cap bias. As a result, it is also more growth-oriented than the market cap indices. Choosing a quality income play doesn't have to mean limiting your participation in a recovery. The JPX-Nikkei 400 index consists of companies expected to deliver shareholder value. Using measures such as efficient use of capital and good corporate governance, the Index aims to provide investors with high quality exposures. If you believe Japan's corporate culture is changing as it should, this could be the index for you.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Lyxor's JPX-Nikkei 400 ETF: Physical replication, available with GBP, EUR and USD currency hedging, ongoing charge from 0.25%: find out more.

  1. Some concentrate more than others

 

The TOPIX gives you the broadest exposure to Japan but its small-cap exposures do add some risk. The Nikkei 225 is by far the most top-heavy of the indices. Its pricing methodology and lower number of constituents make it more volatile than the others as well.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  1. Managers find them hard to beat

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Over 10 years, fewer than 1 in 6 managers have outperformed the TOPIX

Lyxor offers four options for investors buying Japan, including GBP, EUR and USD currency hedged variants. Find out more at LyxorETF.co.uk

Unless otherwise stated, all data is sourced Factset, Bloomberg as at 10 October 2017. Manager performance information from Bloomberg, Morningstar correct as at October 2017. Charges from Lyxor ETF, correct as at 17th October 2017

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Research disclaimer

This material reflects the views and opinions of the individual authors at this date and in no way the official position or advices of any kind of these authors or of Lyxor International Asset Management and thus does not engage the responsibility of Lyxor International Asset Management nor of any of its officers or employees. This research is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this research is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice. Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients and principal trading desks that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Our asset management area, principal trading desks and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views expressed in this research.

 

 

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