Perhaps the biggest debate in the financial columns is whether we are entering – or already in – a recession. There are logical arguments and evidence on all sides. For instance, we are well into US Treasury yield curve inversion – a classic recessionary indicator.
It seems investors can only really be certain of one thing: uncertainty remains. But uncertainty is different from risk. In terms of equity investing, risk is the probability of negative outcomes occurring over the long term, while uncertainty refers to the likelihood of negative share price movements in the short term. Higher inflation forces BoE to pursue rate rise in face of banking crisis What should matter most to long-term investors is not uncertainty, but managing risk. Cash generative businesses with unique competitive advantages and robust balance sheets naturally have ...
To continue reading this article...
Join Investment Week for free
- Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
- Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
- Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
- Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
- Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes