Re-escalation of trade war tensions could feed end-of-cycle concerns
11% return for the month
The US dollar is close to peaking and the risks now seem to be on the downside.
As has been reported many times, this business cycle has continued for a long time.
In 2018, the world economy entered unfamiliar territory.
Markets have been far more volatile this year than last, taking fright at trade wars, the Italian budget, and the rout of the Turkish lira, for example. Yet most of the volatility has been in equity markets, while corporate bonds have provided a relatively...
Asian stockmarkets have had a tough year, culminating in October as trade tensions, a strong US dollar, rising bond yields and weaker Chinese macro data combined to send share prices sharply lower.
Brazilian election means less political uncertainty
Experienced record equity markets
Argentina and Turkey risks